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How many copies did Black Future '88 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 22k–35k
$119k–$319k after Steam's cut $216k–$490k before Steam's cut
from 749 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Black Future '88 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Black Future '88's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 107k–321k
best case 522k (SYNTHETIK: Legion Rising)
Games like Black Future '88

A typical game among these

≈ 107k–321k copies

≈ $716k–$1.9M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: SYNTHETIK: Legion Rising at ≈ 398k–647k copies, ≈ $2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 273 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-lite (7 of 8) and Action Roguelike (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Top-Down Shooter + Rogue-lite, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Brigador: Up-Armored Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 243k–396k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Neon Echo
2023
Est. copies
≈ 102k–166k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$420k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $764k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Mixed
Action RoguelikeAction
SYNTHETIK: Legion Rising
2018
Est. copies
≈ 398k–647k
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Top-Down ShooterRogue-lite
Deadlink
2023
Est. copies
≈ 91k–148k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$627k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
FPSAction Roguelike
Going Under
2020
Est. copies
≈ 104k–168k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$711k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeDungeon Crawler
Anomaly Agent
2024
Est. copies
≈ 249k–404k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$820k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$11.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Action Roguelike2D Platformer
Oblivion Override
2024
Est. copies
≈ 51k–83k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$252k–$677k after Steam's cut $458k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$17.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeHack and Slash
COMPOUND
2022
Est. copies
≈ 53k–86k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$292k–$786k after Steam's cut $531k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionRogue-lite

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