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How many copies did Oblivion Override sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 51k–83k
$252k–$677k after Steam's cut $458k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Oblivion Override and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Oblivion Override's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 159k–1.5M
best case 7.3M (Dead Cells)
Games like Oblivion Override

A typical game among these

≈ 159k–1.5M copies

≈ $941k–$7.4M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Dead Cells at ≈ 5.6M–9.1M copies, ≈ $38.4M–$103.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 15k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (7 of 8) and Rogue-lite (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Metroidvania, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dead Cells
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
27x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$38.4M–$103.2M after Steam's cut $69.8M–$158.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
184k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureAction Roguelike
Abyss Odyssey
2014
Est. copies
≈ 142k–231k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$585k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Mixed
ActionAction Roguelike
Anomaly Agent
2024
Est. copies
≈ 249k–404k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$820k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$11.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Action Roguelike2D Platformer
Skul: The Hero Slayer
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
8.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.9M–$21.2M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction
Lost Castle / 失落城堡
2016
Est. copies
≈ 998k–1.6M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
4 Player LocalAction Roguelike
Rampage Knights
2015
Est. copies
≈ 176k–287k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$630k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut
$12.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opAction Roguelike
Tower Hunter: Erza's Trial
2019
Est. copies
≈ 58k–94k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$285k–$766k after Steam's cut $518k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$17.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Female ProtagonistAction Roguelike
Blade Assault
2022
Est. copies
≈ 57k–93k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$282k–$757k after Steam's cut $512k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$17.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionRogue-like

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