How much revenue did Wave Break make?

$12k–$33k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Wave Break sell?

Q: How many copies did Wave Break sell?

2k to 4k copies, based on its 91 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–4k; $12k–$33k after Steam's cut $23k–$51k before Steam's cut; from 91 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Wave Break and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Wave Break's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4k–5k

best case 637k (Skater XL - The Ultimate Skateboarding Game)

Games like Wave Break

A typical game among these

≈ 4k–5k copies

≈ $15k–$24k after Steam's cut

from ~140 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Skater XL - The Ultimate Skateboarding Game at ≈ 485k–789k copies, ≈ $5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 218 reviews in their first month; the range was 14 to 8k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Skateboarding (7 of 8) and Sports (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Skateboarding, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Simulation; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Session: Skate Sim 2022	Est. copies ≈ 394k–640k 113x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.3M–$11.6M after Steam's cut $7.9M–$17.9M before Steam's cut	$39.99	16k reviews Very Positive	SkateboardingSports
Skater XL - The Ultimate Skateboarding Game 2020	Est. copies ≈ 485k–789k 140x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.1M before Steam's cut	$39.99	20k reviews Very Positive	SkateboardingSkating
Skate City 2021	Est. copies ≈ 4k–6k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $16k–$42k after Steam's cut $28k–$65k before Steam's cut	$14.99	153 reviews Very Positive	SkatingSkateboarding
SkateBIRD 2021	Est. copies ≈ 19k–32k 5.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $107k–$287k after Steam's cut $194k–$442k before Steam's cut	$19.99	783 reviews Very Positive	SkateboardingExploration
BMX The Game 2020	Est. copies ≈ 15k–24k 4.3x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $102k–$274k after Steam's cut $185k–$421k before Steam's cut	$24.99	597 reviews Mixed	BMXSports
Driftwood 2025	Est. copies ≈ 31k–51k 9.0x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $173k–$464k after Steam's cut $314k–$714k before Steam's cut	$19.99	1k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessExploration
Drifting with Maxwell Cat: The Game 2023	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	128 reviews Mixed	MemesSkateboarding
REKT! High Octane Stunts 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3k–6k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$24k before Steam's cut	$5.99	140 reviews Very Positive	RacingMultiplayer