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How many copies did Smalland: Survive the Wilds sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 262k–425k
$2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.4M before Steam's cut
from 11k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Smalland: Survive the Wilds and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Smalland: Survive the Wilds's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 13.6M–17.7M
best case 35.2M (ARK: Survival Evolved)
Games like Smalland: Survive the Wilds

A typical game among these

≈ 13.6M–17.7M copies

≈ $178.4M–$209.8M after Steam's cut

from ~446k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: ARK: Survival Evolved at ≈ 26.8M–43.5M copies, ≈ $110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 398k reviews in their first month; the range was 182k to 558k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Survival (8 of 8) and Open World (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2026, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ASTRONEER
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$33.1M–$89.1M after Steam's cut $60.2M–$137.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
139k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerOpen World
Subnautica
2018
Est. copies
≈ 11.6M–18.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$95.5M–$256.7M after Steam's cut $173.6M–$395.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
381k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Palworld
2026
Est. copies
≈ 12.2M–19.8M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$100.5M–$270.1M after Steam's cut $182.7M–$415.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
491k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldSurvival
Raft
2022
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$51.7M–$139.0M after Steam's cut $94.0M–$213.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
379k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalMultiplayer
7 Days to Die
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9.9M–16.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut
$44.99
401k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies
ARK: Survival Evolved
2017
Est. copies
≈ 26.8M–43.5M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
779k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Oxygen Not Included
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$28.5M–$76.7M after Steam's cut $51.9M–$118.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
144k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Colony SimBase-Building
Valheim
2026
Est. copies
≈ 13.9M–22.6M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$114.9M–$308.9M after Steam's cut $208.9M–$475.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
562k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival

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