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How many copies did YUMENIKKI -DREAM DIARY- sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 46k–75k
$255k–$685k after Steam's cut $463k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid YUMENIKKI -DREAM DIARY- and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including YUMENIKKI -DREAM DIARY-'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 564k–1.1M
best case 1.1M (Chants of Sennaar)
Games like YUMENIKKI -DREAM DIARY-

A typical game among these

≈ 564k–1.1M copies

≈ $4.4M–$8.0M after Steam's cut

from ~19k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Chants of Sennaar at ≈ 869k–1.4M copies, ≈ $4.8M–$12.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 10k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (7 of 8) and Exploration (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Point & Click, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

FEZ
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerIndie
Supraland
2019
Est. copies
≈ 446k–725k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerExploration
ANIMAL WELL
2024
Est. copies
≈ 612k–995k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.3M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration
Chants of Sennaar
2023
Est. copies
≈ 869k–1.4M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.8M–$12.8M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleAdventure
Superliminal
2020
Est. copies
≈ 848k–1.4M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.5M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
34k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleFirst-Person
Webbed
2021
Est. copies
≈ 380k–617k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2D PlatformerCute
Murders on the Yangtze River
2024
Est. copies
≈ 528k–858k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveAdventure
The Talos Principle 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 333k–541k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
13k reviews
Very Positive

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