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How many copies did Stygian: Reign of the Old Ones sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 73k–118k
$400k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $727k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Stygian: Reign of the Old Ones and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Stygian: Reign of the Old Ones's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 950k–1.1M
best case 8.9M (Darkest Dungeon®)
Games like Stygian: Reign of the Old Ones

A typical game among these

≈ 950k–1.1M copies

≈ $6.5M–$8.7M after Steam's cut

from ~28k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Horror (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Darkest Dungeon® at ≈ 6.8M–11.0M copies, ≈ $46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (3 of 8) and Lovecraftian (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Souls-like + Co-op, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry RPG; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Remnant: From the Ashes
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$18.2M–$49.1M after Steam's cut $33.2M–$75.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeAction
DREDGE
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.6M–$41.9M after Steam's cut $28.4M–$64.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
57k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationFishing
Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut
2023
Est. copies
≈ 856k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$17.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelChoices Matter
Darkest Dungeon® II
2023
Est. copies
≈ 671k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.4M–$19.9M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
27k reviews
Mostly Positive
Darkest Dungeon®
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.8M–11.0M
5.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut $84.6M–$192.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
163k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based CombatDark Fantasy
Darkwood
2017
Est. copies
≈ 861k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's cut $8.6M–$19.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
20 Minutes Till Dawn
2023
Est. copies
≈ 724k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$993k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
ICEY
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.5M–$9.4M after Steam's cut $6.4M–$14.5M before Steam's cut
$10.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFemale Protagonist

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