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How many copies did Counter-Strike: Condition Zero sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
$4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.4M before Steam's cut
from 28k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Counter-Strike: Condition Zero and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Counter-Strike: Condition Zero's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 32.5M–106.2M
best case 820.1M (Counter-Strike 2)
Games like Counter-Strike: Condition Zero

A typical game among these

≈ 32.5M–106.2M copies

≈ $247.0M–$308.7M after Steam's cut

from ~1.1M reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Counter-Strike 2 at ≈ 624.8M–1015.3M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (8 of 8) and Shooter (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 95.8M–155.7M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.8M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Apex Legends™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 26.6M–43.2M
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.1M reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayBattle Royale
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
2015
Est. copies
≈ 76.0M–123.4M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.6M reviews
Very Positive
FPSPvP
Left 4 Dead 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 67.0M–108.9M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut $334.7M–$761.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.1M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesCo-op
Call of Duty®
2022
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.5M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
782k reviews
Mixed
FPSMultiplayer
Counter-Strike 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 624.8M–1015.3M
9.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9.9M reviews
Very Positive
FPSShooter
PAYDAY 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.7M–69.3M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
675k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opAction
Destiny 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 19.1M–31.0M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
663k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayOpen World

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.