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How many copies did Puppet Fever sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
from 37 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Puppet Fever and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Puppet Fever's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 97k–107k
best case 2.3M (Pummel Party)
Games like Puppet Fever

A typical game among these

≈ 97k–107k copies

≈ $521k–$1.1M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Pummel Party at ≈ 1.8M–2.9M copies, ≈ $7.3M–$19.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 137 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Party Game (7 of 8) and VR (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Party Game, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Funny; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Ultimate Chicken Horse
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
18x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.8M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
54k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerParty
Pummel Party
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$7.3M–$19.6M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$30.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerFunny
Late For Work
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$41k before Steam's cut
$14.99
84 reviews
Very Positive
VRLocal Multiplayer
Among Us 3D: VR
2022
Est. copies
≈ 69k–112k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$189k–$509k after Steam's cut $344k–$783k before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
VRMultiplayer
Boomerang Fu
2020
Est. copies
≈ 76k–124k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$313k–$842k after Steam's cut $570k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
4 Player LocalLocal Multiplayer
Tricky Towers
2016
Est. copies
≈ 687k–1.1M
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
Ragnarock
2021
Est. copies
≈ 80k–129k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$547k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $995k–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
VRAction
The Jackbox Party Pack 5
2018
Est. copies
≈ 88k–144k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$729k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
CasualLocal Multiplayer

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