How much revenue did Typical Nightmare make?

$9k–$25k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Typical Nightmare sell?

Q: How many copies did Typical Nightmare sell?

3k to 5k copies, based on its 111 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3k–5k; $9k–$25k after Steam's cut $17k–$38k before Steam's cut; from 111 reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Typical Nightmare and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Typical Nightmare's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.5M–4.5M

best case 12.1M (People Playground)

Games like Typical Nightmare

A typical game among these

≈ 3.5M–4.5M copies

≈ $5.9M–$34.1M after Steam's cut

from ~112k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Horror (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: People Playground at ≈ 9.2M–15.0M copies, ≈ $25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 14k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 64k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Horror (4 of 8) and First-Person (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror + First-Person, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Moddable; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Outer Wilds 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut $33.6M–$76.4M before Steam's cut	$24.99	108k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ExplorationSpace
SCP: Secret Laboratory 2017	Est. copies ≈ 8.1M–13.1M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	235k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayMultiplayer
MiSide 2024	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $14.6M–$39.2M after Steam's cut $26.5M–$60.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	143k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological HorrorCute
Cities: Skylines 2015	Est. copies ≈ 14.2M–23.1M 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $117.2M–$315.2M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	291k reviews Very Positive	City Builder Simulation
People Playground 2019	Est. copies ≈ 9.2M–15.0M 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	321k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxGore
House Flipper 2018	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $23.4M–$63.0M after Steam's cut $42.6M–$96.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	112k reviews Very Positive	SimulationDesign & Illustration
Buckshot Roulette 2024	Est. copies ≈ 3.1M–5.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut	$2.99	127k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MultiplayerDark
Cookie Clicker 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.1M before Steam's cut	$4.99	93k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ClickerIdler