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How many copies did Sloppy Goat sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$22k–$60k after Steam's cut $40k–$92k before Steam's cut
from 106 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sloppy Goat and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sloppy Goat's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4k–576k
best case 3.3M (Super Meat Boy)
Games like Sloppy Goat

A typical game among these

≈ 4k–576k copies

≈ $3k–$2.8M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Super Meat Boy at ≈ 2.5M–4.0M copies, ≈ $10.2M–$27.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 23 reviews in their first month; the range was 8 to 1k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (7 of 8) and Precision Platformer (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy under 20k
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ActionAdventure
Super Meat Boy
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
4.9x vs typical
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Jump King
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≈ 387k–629k
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10 Seconds to Win!
2021
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$993–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
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Very Positive
Time AttackPixel Graphics
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Deepest Sword
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Super Indie Square - Fight Against Time
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≈ 298–484
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2D2D Platformer

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