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How many copies did TailQuest Defense sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
from 43 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid TailQuest Defense and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including TailQuest Defense's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 598k–1.0M
best case 2.4M (A Hat in Time)
Games like TailQuest Defense

A typical game among these

≈ 598k–1.0M copies

≈ $3.3M–$13.1M after Steam's cut

from ~19k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: A Hat in Time at ≈ 1.8M–3.0M copies, ≈ $15.2M–$40.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Platformer (7 of 8) and Exploration (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 3D Platformer + Collectathon, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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2022
Est. copies
≈ 437k–711k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
FPS Tactics
2021
Est. copies
≈ 744–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41k–$110k after Steam's cut $74k–$169k before Steam's cut
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30 reviews
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ExplorationTactical RPG
Pseudoregalia
2023
Est. copies
≈ 473k–769k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$779k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$5.99
19k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
3D PlatformerMetroidvania
Refunct
2015
Est. copies
≈ 852k–1.4M
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$701k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$2.99
17k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Parkour3D Platformer
A Hat in Time
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$15.2M–$40.8M after Steam's cut $27.6M–$62.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
54k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Cute3D Platformer
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Est. copies
≈ 619k–1.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
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$29.99
25k reviews
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Base-BuildingTower Defense
not available
2023
Est. copies
≈ 371k–603k
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Free
Free
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Mostly Positive
Parkour3D Platformer
Sonic Frontiers
2022
Est. copies
≈ 709k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackOpen World

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