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How many copies did Dude Simulator 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 61k–100k
$84k–$226k after Steam's cut $153k–$348k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dude Simulator 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dude Simulator 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.7M–1.9M
best case 57.1M (Stardew Valley)
Games like Dude Simulator 2

A typical game among these

≈ 1.7M–1.9M copies

≈ $12.4M–$16.4M after Steam's cut

from ~51k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Stardew Valley at ≈ 43.5M–70.7M copies, ≈ $179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 12k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 69k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (7 of 8) and Life Sim (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Farming Sim + Life Sim, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Economy + Management; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Stardew Valley
2016
Est. copies
≈ 43.5M–70.7M
21x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut $326.2M–$742.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Farming SimPixel Graphics
Volcano Princess
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut
$10.99
49k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Life SimMultiple Endings
My Time at Portia
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.5M–$28.3M after Steam's cut $19.1M–$43.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
Life SimRPG
Supermarket Simulator
2025
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$11.5M–$30.9M after Steam's cut $20.9M–$47.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
84k reviews
Very Positive
Cookie Clicker
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
93k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ClickerIdler
PC Building Simulator
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationEducation
Supermarket Together
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
100k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationOnline Co-Op
WorldBox - God Simulator
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$20.9M after Steam's cut $14.1M–$32.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
57k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxGod Game

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.