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How many copies did Star Valor sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 87k–142k
$600k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Star Valor and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Star Valor's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.7M–10.7M
best case 23.0M (No Man's Sky)
Games like Star Valor

A typical game among these

≈ 6.7M–10.7M copies

≈ $61.1M–$207.6M after Steam's cut

from ~147k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: No Man's Sky at ≈ 17.5M–28.5M copies, ≈ $289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sandbox (5 of 8) and Space (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Kerbal Space Program
2015
Est. copies
≈ 7.2M–11.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$79.0M–$212.3M after Steam's cut $143.6M–$326.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
147k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SpaceSimulation
No Man's Sky
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17.5M–28.5M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut $526.0M–$1196.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
422k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Space Bob vs. The Replicons
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$12k–$33k after Steam's cut $22k–$51k before Steam's cut
$14.99
98 reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Starbound
2016
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.1M–$56.9M after Steam's cut $38.4M–$87.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
123k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSandbox
ASTRONEER
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$33.1M–$89.1M after Steam's cut $60.2M–$137.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
139k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerOpen World
Stellaris
2016
Est. copies
≈ 8.2M–13.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$112.6M–$302.6M after Steam's cut $204.7M–$465.6M before Steam's cut
$49.99
197k reviews
Very Positive
Starground
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$18k–$49k after Steam's cut $33k–$75k before Steam's cut
$13.99
191 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessMining
Planet Miners
2024
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$491–$1k after Steam's cut $893–$2k before Steam's cut
$11.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
MiningSandbox

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.