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How many copies did Starground sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$18k–$49k after Steam's cut $33k–$75k before Steam's cut
from 191 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Starground and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Starground's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 46k–96k
best case 929k (Hydroneer)
Games like Starground

A typical game among these

≈ 46k–96k copies

≈ $482k–$986k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hydroneer at ≈ 708k–1.2M copies, ≈ $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 816 reviews in their first month; the range was 225 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Building (7 of 8) and Automation (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Base-Building + Automation, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Base-Building + Mining + City Builder; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Est. copies
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SimulationIdler
Crypto Miner Tycoon Simulator Starter Edition
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Est. copies
≈ 291k–473k
5.7x vs typical
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Hydroneer
2020
Est. copies
≈ 708k–1.2M
14x vs typical
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2019
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$29.99
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SteamSpy 50k–100k
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StrategyTrains
FortressCraft Evolved!
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Est. copies
≈ 150k–243k
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Open World Survival CraftAutomation

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.