How much revenue did RAILGRADE make?

$261k–$703k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did RAILGRADE sell?

Q: How many copies did RAILGRADE sell?

32k to 52k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 32k–52k; $261k–$703k after Steam's cut $475k–$1.1M before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid RAILGRADE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including RAILGRADE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 573k–1.2M

best case 7.7M (Factorio)

Games like RAILGRADE

A typical game among these

≈ 573k–1.2M copies

≈ $6.1M–$17.9M after Steam's cut

from ~17k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Factorio at ≈ 5.9M–9.5M copies, ≈ $56.4M–$151.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 15k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 86k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Management (5 of 8) and Sandbox (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Automation + Base-Building, priced around $35. The breakout hits carry Resource Management + Multiplayer + Survival; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
shapez 2 - Factory 2026	Est. copies ≈ 385k–625k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.1M before Steam's cut	$29.99	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ManagementStrategy
Workers & Resources: Soviet Republic 2024	Est. copies ≈ 682k–1.1M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.5M–$20.2M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$31.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	27k reviews Very Positive	StrategySimulation
Transport Fever 2 2019	Est. copies ≈ 950k–1.5M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.4M–$28.1M after Steam's cut $19.0M–$43.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	33k reviews Very Positive	SimulationStrategy
Mini Metro 2015	Est. copies ≈ 819k–1.3M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	17k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	StrategyPuzzle
Factorio 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5.9M–9.5M 14x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $56.4M–$151.5M after Steam's cut $102.5M–$233.1M before Steam's cut	$35.00	236k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AutomationBase-Building
Transport Fever 2016	Est. copies ≈ 452k–734k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$10.0M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	11k reviews Very Positive	FlightCity Builder
OpenTTD 2021	Est. copies ≈ 422k–686k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	17k reviews Very Positive	SimulationBuilding
Train Simulator Classic 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $11.9M–$31.9M after Steam's cut $21.6M–$49.1M before Steam's cut	$29.99	29k reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationTrains