How much revenue did Dreadnought make?

Dreadnought is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did Dreadnought sell?

Q: How many copies did Dreadnought sell?

202k to 327k copies, based on its 7k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 202k–327k; from 7k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dreadnought and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dreadnought's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.0M–6.9M

best case 37.9M (HELLDIVERS™ 2)

Games like Dreadnought

A typical game among these

≈ 3.0M–6.9M copies

≈ $50.7M–$114.8M after Steam's cut

from ~86k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: HELLDIVERS™ 2 at ≈ 28.9M–46.9M copies, ≈ $317.6M–$854.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 20k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 251k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Sci-fi (7 of 8) and Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Third-Person Shooter + Shooter, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
STAR WARS™ Battlefront II (Classic, 2005) 2009	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $9.4M–$25.4M after Steam's cut $17.1M–$39.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	54k reviews Very Positive	ActionMultiplayer
Mass Effect™ Legendary Edition 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $27.7M–$74.3M after Steam's cut $50.3M–$114.4M before Steam's cut	$59.99	68k reviews Very Positive	Story RichRPG
Alien: Isolation 2014	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $41.3M–$110.9M after Steam's cut $75.0M–$170.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	67k reviews Very Positive	Horror Survival Horror
Halo: The Master Chief Collection 2019	Est. copies ≈ 7.6M–12.3M 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $83.3M–$223.9M after Steam's cut $151.4M–$344.5M before Steam's cut	$39.99	263k reviews Very Positive	Great SoundtrackFPS
Dead Space 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–2.9M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $29.2M–$78.4M after Steam's cut $53.0M–$120.7M before Steam's cut	$59.99	71k reviews Very Positive	HorrorThird-Person Shooter
HELLDIVERS™ 2 2024	Est. copies ≈ 28.9M–46.9M 14x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $317.6M–$854.0M after Steam's cut $577.5M–$1313.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	1.2M reviews Mostly Positive	Online Co-OpPvE
Halo Infinite 2021	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.3M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	181k reviews Mixed	Free to PlayFPS
STAR WARS™ Battlefront™ II 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.5M–4.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $27.3M–$73.4M after Steam's cut $49.7M–$113.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	100k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerShooter