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How many copies did Merry Glade sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–12k
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
from 245 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Merry Glade and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Merry Glade's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.3M–5.6M
best case 12.1M (People Playground)
Games like Merry Glade

A typical game among these

≈ 2.3M–5.6M copies

≈ $30.1M–$55.6M after Steam's cut

from ~74k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: People Playground at ≈ 9.2M–15.0M copies, ≈ $25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 12k reviews in their first month; the range was 12k to 42k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Gore (8 of 8) and Violent (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sandbox + Gore, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Mortal Kombat 1
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$16.9M–$45.5M after Steam's cut $30.8M–$70.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
50k reviews
Mostly Positive
FightingAction
Blasphemous
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.8M–$50.7M after Steam's cut $34.3M–$78.0M before Steam's cut
$34.99
68k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaPixel Graphics
Paint the Town Red
2021
Est. copies
≈ 810k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.5M–$12.0M after Steam's cut $8.1M–$18.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
GoreBlood
People Playground
2019
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
321k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxGore
Mortal Kombat X
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.3M–$43.9M after Steam's cut $29.7M–$67.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
61k reviews
Very Positive
FightingGore
Mortal Kombat 11
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.1M–$124.0M after Steam's cut $83.8M–$190.7M before Steam's cut
$49.99
116k reviews
Very Positive
FightingGore
Hotline Miami 2: Wrong Number
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.2M–$43.5M after Steam's cut $29.4M–$66.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
80k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackGore
DOOM Eternal
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$44.5M–$119.7M after Steam's cut $80.9M–$184.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
218k reviews
Very Positive
FPSAction

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