How much revenue did Garden Paws make?

$417k–$1.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Garden Paws sell?

Q: How many copies did Garden Paws sell?

76k to 123k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 76k–123k; $417k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $758k–$1.7M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Garden Paws and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Garden Paws's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 147k–205k

best case 951k (Dinkum)

Games like Garden Paws

A typical game among these

≈ 147k–205k copies

≈ $1.2M–$1.4M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Dinkum at ≈ 725k–1.2M copies, ≈ $4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 24k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Crafting (6 of 8) and Farming Sim (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Agriculture + Farming Sim, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Agriculture + Multiplayer + Relaxing; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Kynseed 2022	Est. copies ≈ 97k–157k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $665k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut	$24.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Farming SimExploration
Farm Together 2018	Est. copies ≈ 672k–1.1M 4.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	22k reviews Very Positive	AgricultureMultiplayer
Yonder: The Cloud Catcher Chronicles 2017	Est. copies ≈ 111k–181k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $764k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAdventure
Roots of Pacha 2023	Est. copies ≈ 114k–185k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $780k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	5k reviews Very Positive	IndieFarming Sim
I Am Future: Cozy Apocalypse Survival 2024	Est. copies ≈ 116k–189k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $640k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	5k reviews Very Positive	CasualSingleplayer
Littlewood 2020	Est. copies ≈ 169k–275k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $699k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	7k reviews Very Positive	Pixel GraphicsLife Sim
Settlement Survival 2022	Est. copies ≈ 201k–327k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	8k reviews Very Positive	City BuilderBuilding
Dinkum 2025	Est. copies ≈ 725k–1.2M 6.3x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	29k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftAgriculture