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How many copies did USA 2020 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 8k–13k
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$17k before Steam's cut
from 262 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid USA 2020 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including USA 2020's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 211k–543k
best case 19.8M (Hearts of Iron IV)
Games like USA 2020

A typical game among these

≈ 211k–543k copies

≈ $607k–$2.6M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Bullet Hell (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Hearts of Iron IV at ≈ 15.1M–24.6M copies, ≈ $207.7M–$558.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Bullet Hell (3 of 8) and Shooter (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with World War II + Grand Strategy, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Strategy + World War II + Grand Strategy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Wolfenstein: Youngblood
2019
Est. copies
≈ 460k–747k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
16k reviews
Mixed
ActionCo-op
Alien Shooter 2: Reloaded
2009
Est. copies
≈ 228k–371k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$313k–$842k after Steam's cut $569k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$4.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AliensLooter Shooter
永远消失的幻想乡 ~ The Disappearing of Gensokyo
2018
Est. copies
≈ 109k–177k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$329k–$885k after Steam's cut $598k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$10.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeBullet Hell
Hunt Down The Freeman
2018
Est. copies
≈ 138k–224k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$379k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $689k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
5k reviews
Mixed
Hearts of Iron IV
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15.1M–24.6M
58x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$207.7M–$558.4M after Steam's cut $377.6M–$859.1M before Steam's cut
$49.99
363k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWorld War II
12 is Better Than 6
2015
Est. copies
≈ 504k–820k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
ActionShooter
Die Erdnussbutter
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$398–$1k after Steam's cut $724–$2k before Steam's cut
$0.99
59 reviews
Very Positive
ArcadeAction
DEEP SPACE WAIFU
2017
Est. copies
≈ 275k–446k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity

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