How much revenue did AHEGAL make?

$23k–$61k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did AHEGAL sell?

Q: How many copies did AHEGAL sell?

42k to 68k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 42k–68k; $23k–$61k after Steam's cut $41k–$94k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid AHEGAL and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including AHEGAL's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.7M–9.0M

best case 40.7M (Wallpaper Engine)

Games like AHEGAL

A typical game among these

≈ 4.7M–9.0M copies

≈ $7.2M–$52.8M after Steam's cut

from ~142k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Anime (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 31.0M–50.3M copies, ≈ $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 33k reviews in their first month; the range was 21k to 326k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Anime (4 of 8) and Mature (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $32. The breakout hits carry Design & Illustration + Animation & Modeling + Cyberpunk; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
VRChat 2017	Est. copies ≈ 9.3M–15.1M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	269k reviews Mostly Positive	VRFree to Play
Wallpaper Engine 2018	Est. copies ≈ 31.0M–50.3M 7.2x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut	$4.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MatureUtilities
Cyberpunk 2077 2020	Est. copies ≈ 24.4M–39.6M 6.9x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $402.0M–$1080.8M after Steam's cut $730.9M–$1662.7M before Steam's cut	$59.99	983k reviews Very Positive	CyberpunkOpen World
DARK SOULS™: REMASTERED 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.8M–7.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $52.3M–$140.6M after Steam's cut $95.1M–$216.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	156k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Muse Dash 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before Steam's cut	$2.99	122k reviews Very Positive	MusicRhythm
Soundpad 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.5M before Steam's cut	$4.99	105k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	UtilitiesAudio Production
Helltaker 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	128k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Free to PlayCute
NARAKA: BLADEPOINT 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7.5M–12.2M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	303k reviews Mostly Positive	Battle RoyaleMultiplayer