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How many copies did Double Shot sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 486–790
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
from 16 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Double Shot and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Double Shot's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–5.2M
best case 9.1M (Resident Evil 4)
Games like Double Shot

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–5.2M copies

≈ $15.2M–$52.9M after Steam's cut

from ~66k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Resident Evil 4 at ≈ 7.0M–11.3M copies, ≈ $76.4M–$205.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 40k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 68k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share VR (5 of 8) and First-Person (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Survival Horror, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Resident Evil Village
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
155k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Blade and Sorcery
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.7M–$34.2M after Steam's cut $23.1M–$52.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
62k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRSwordplay
Resident Evil 4
2023
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.3M
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$76.4M–$205.5M after Steam's cut $139.0M–$316.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
280k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorAction
Trepang2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 489k–795k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's cut $8.6M–$19.5M before Steam's cut
$34.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
ShooterSingleplayer
Resident Evil 7 Biohazard
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.1M–$64.9M after Steam's cut $43.9M–$99.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
128k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HITMAN World of Assassination
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.2M–$38.3M after Steam's cut $25.9M–$58.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
70k reviews
Very Positive
StealthAssassin
BONEWORKS
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's cut $15.8M–$35.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
VRPhysics
Pavlov
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.9M–$18.6M after Steam's cut $12.6M–$28.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
VRShooter

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