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How many copies did Precipice sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–15k
$21k–$55k after Steam's cut $37k–$85k before Steam's cut
from 325 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Precipice and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Precipice's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 40k–162k
best case 163k (Twilight Struggle)
Games like Precipice

A typical game among these

≈ 40k–162k copies

≈ $107k–$625k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Twilight Struggle at ≈ 124k–202k copies, ≈ $342k–$919k after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Cold War (6 of 8) and Political Sim (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Board Game + Tabletop, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Twilight Struggle
2016
Est. copies
≈ 124k–202k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$342k–$919k after Steam's cut $622k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Board GameStrategy
Crisis in the Kremlin
2017
Est. copies
≈ 50k–82k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$69k–$186k after Steam's cut $126k–$286k before Steam's cut
$4.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Political SimStrategy
Tropico 3
2009
Est. copies
≈ 123k–200k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$339k–$911k after Steam's cut $616k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationStrategy
Jey's Empire
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$42k before Steam's cut
$14.99
85 reviews
Very Positive
Choose Your Own AdventurePolitical Sim
Ostalgie: The Berlin Wall
2018
Est. copies
≈ 22k–36k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$37k–$98k after Steam's cut $66k–$151k before Steam's cut
$5.99
729 reviews
Very Positive
Political SimSimulation
China: Mao's legacy
2019
Est. copies
≈ 30k–49k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$58k–$156k after Steam's cut $105k–$240k before Steam's cut
$6.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Political SimStrategy
SGS NATO's Nightmare
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$28k–$76k after Steam's cut $52k–$117k before Steam's cut
$34.99
119 reviews
Mostly Positive
WargameStrategy
SGS Korean War
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$28k–$74k after Steam's cut $50k–$114k before Steam's cut
$29.99
135 reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy

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