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How many copies did Ostalgie: The Berlin Wall sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 22k–36k
$37k–$98k after Steam's cut $66k–$151k before Steam's cut
from 729 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ostalgie: The Berlin Wall and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ostalgie: The Berlin Wall's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–1.9M
best case 6.1M (Crusader Kings II)
Games like Ostalgie: The Berlin Wall

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–1.9M copies

≈ $11.3M–$16.5M after Steam's cut

from ~30k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Crusader Kings II at ≈ 4.7M–7.6M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Political Sim (7 of 8) and Simulation (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Grand Strategy + Medieval.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Very Positive
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Grand StrategyEconomy

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.