How much revenue did The Vale: Shadow of the Crown make?

$53k–$141k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Vale: Shadow of the Crown sell?

Q: How many copies did The Vale: Shadow of the Crown sell?

10k to 16k copies, based on its 386 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 10k–16k; $53k–$141k after Steam's cut $96k–$218k before Steam's cut; from 386 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Vale: Shadow of the Crown and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Vale: Shadow of the Crown's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.2M–8.7M

best case 39.5M (Black Myth: Wukong)

Games like The Vale: Shadow of the Crown

A typical game among these

≈ 5.2M–8.7M copies

≈ $58.5M–$201.8M after Steam's cut

from ~205k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Black Myth: Wukong at ≈ 30.1M–48.9M copies, ≈ $496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 93k reviews in their first month; the range was 17k to 836k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Action RPG (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Mythology + Action RPG, priced around $60.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Black Myth: Wukong 2024	Est. copies ≈ 30.1M–48.9M 5.9x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue $496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut $902.2M–$2052.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	1.2M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MythologyAction RPG
Noita 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PhysicsRogue-like
Starfield 2023	Est. copies ≈ 4.4M–7.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $59.8M–$160.9M after Steam's cut $108.8M–$247.5M before Steam's cut	$49.99	175k reviews Mixed	SpaceSingleplayer
Dragon's Dogma 2 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $32.1M–$86.3M after Steam's cut $58.3M–$132.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	118k reviews Mixed	Open WorldRPG
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal 2023	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut $55.7M–$126.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	225k reviews Mixed	ManagementSingleplayer
Hogwarts Legacy 2023	Est. copies ≈ 9.3M–15.1M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's cut $278.6M–$633.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	375k reviews Very Positive	MagicOpen World
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey 2018	Est. copies ≈ 5.7M–9.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $94.8M–$254.9M after Steam's cut $172.4M–$392.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	189k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldRPG
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition 2022	Est. copies ≈ 5.5M–8.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $90.1M–$242.1M after Steam's cut $163.7M–$372.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	220k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldCo-op