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How big is Neon Boost?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 71k–115k
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Neon Boost and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Neon Boost's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.5M–10.5M
best case 56.3M (Warframe)
Games like Neon Boost

A typical game among these

≈ 3.5M–10.5M copies

≈ $15.6M–$40.2M after Steam's cut

from ~119k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is First-Person (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Warframe at ≈ 42.9M–69.7M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 33k reviews in their first month; the range was 22k to 77k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share First-Person (3 of 8) and Psychological Horror (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action RPG + Looter Shooter.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

NARAKA: BLADEPOINT
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.2M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
303k reviews
Mostly Positive
Battle RoyaleMultiplayer
Warframe
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.9M–69.7M
5.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
678k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayAction RPG
Getting Over It with Bennett Foddy
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.8M after Steam's cut $11.4M–$25.8M before Steam's cut
$7.99
83k reviews
Very Positive
Crab Game
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
151k reviews
Very Positive
Psychological HorrorMultiplayer
Ultimate Chicken Horse
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.8M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
54k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerParty
Human Fall Flat
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.5M–15.4M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
227k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opFunny
Gorilla Tag
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.7M–$31.6M after Steam's cut $21.4M–$48.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
86k reviews
Very Positive
Dirty Bomb®
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
57k reviews
Very Positive
Hero ShooterFree to Play

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