How much revenue did A Total War Saga: TROY make?

$523k–$1.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did A Total War Saga: TROY sell?

Q: How many copies did A Total War Saga: TROY sell?

95k to 155k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 95k–155k; $523k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $951k–$2.2M before Steam's cut; from 4k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid A Total War Saga: TROY and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including A Total War Saga: TROY's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.9M–9.0M

best case 19.8M (Hearts of Iron IV)

Games like A Total War Saga: TROY

A typical game among these

≈ 4.9M–9.0M copies

≈ $63.7M–$89.7M after Steam's cut

from ~136k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Grand Strategy (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Hearts of Iron IV at ≈ 15.1M–24.6M copies, ≈ $207.7M–$558.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Grand Strategy (4 of 8) and Historical (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Grand Strategy, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Grand Strategy + Space + Sci-fi; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Heroes & Generals 2016	Est. copies ≈ 5.9M–9.6M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	142k reviews Mixed	Free to PlayWorld War II
Kenshi 2018	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $29.3M–$78.9M after Steam's cut $53.3M–$121.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	117k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open WorldSandbox
Crusader Kings III 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $48.6M–$130.7M after Steam's cut $88.4M–$201.1M before Steam's cut	$49.99	143k reviews Very Positive	StrategyMedieval
Stellaris 2016	Est. copies ≈ 8.2M–13.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $112.6M–$302.6M after Steam's cut $204.7M–$465.6M before Steam's cut	$49.99	197k reviews Very Positive	SpaceGrand Strategy
Frostpunk 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.2M–6.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $34.5M–$92.8M after Steam's cut $62.8M–$142.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	138k reviews Very Positive	City Builder Survival
Hearts of Iron IV 2016	Est. copies ≈ 15.1M–24.6M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $207.7M–$558.4M after Steam's cut $377.6M–$859.1M before Steam's cut	$49.99	363k reviews Very Positive	StrategyWorld War II
Company of Heroes 2 2013	Est. copies ≈ 7.2M–11.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $39.4M–$105.8M after Steam's cut $71.6M–$162.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	113k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyWorld War II
Europa Universalis IV 2013	Est. copies ≈ 8.5M–13.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $116.6M–$313.5M after Steam's cut $212.0M–$482.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	134k reviews Very Positive	Grand StrategyStrategy