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How many copies did Gunsmith Simulator sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 82k–133k
$561k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Gunsmith Simulator and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Gunsmith Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.3M–13.0M
best case 65.2M (War Thunder)
Games like Gunsmith Simulator

A typical game among these

≈ 4.3M–13.0M copies

≈ $51.5M–$108.4M after Steam's cut

from ~142k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: War Thunder at ≈ 49.7M–80.7M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Military (6 of 8) and Shooter (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Vehicular Combat.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Arma 3
2013
Est. copies
≈ 18.7M–30.4M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$154.1M–$414.3M after Steam's cut $280.2M–$637.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
296k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryAction
ACE COMBAT™ 7: SKIES UNKNOWN
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.1M–$72.7M after Steam's cut $49.2M–$111.9M before Steam's cut
$59.99
57k reviews
Very Positive
FlightJet
Rising Storm 2: Vietnam
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.0M–$37.7M after Steam's cut $25.5M–$58.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
59k reviews
Very Positive
FPSWargame
Hell Let Loose
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$51.1M–$137.3M after Steam's cut $92.9M–$211.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
150k reviews
Very Positive
ShooterRealistic
Squad
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.0M–9.8M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$66.5M–$178.7M after Steam's cut $120.8M–$274.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
244k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryRealistic
Insurgency
2014
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$28.8M–$77.3M after Steam's cut $52.3M–$119.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
125k reviews
Very Positive
FPSRealistic
War Thunder
2013
Est. copies
≈ 49.7M–80.7M
5.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
786k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlaySimulation
Insurgency: Sandstorm
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$33.4M–$89.9M after Steam's cut $60.8M–$138.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
133k reviews
Very Positive
FPSRealistic

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