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How many copies did NIMBY Rails sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 58k–94k
$317k–$851k after Steam's cut $576k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid NIMBY Rails and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including NIMBY Rails's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 512k–4.9M
best case 78.3M (Euro Truck Simulator 2)
Games like NIMBY Rails

A typical game among these

≈ 512k–4.9M copies

≈ $5.7M–$70.5M after Steam's cut

from ~25k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Euro Truck Simulator 2 at ≈ 59.7M–97.0M copies, ≈ $328.0M–$881.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 489 to 34k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (7 of 8) and Economy (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Driving + Transportation, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Euro Truck Simulator 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 59.7M–97.0M
38x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$328.0M–$881.9M after Steam's cut $596.4M–$1356.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
944k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DrivingTransportation
American Truck Simulator
2016
Est. copies
≈ 8.2M–13.3M
7.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$45.0M–$120.9M after Steam's cut $81.7M–$186.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
197k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Automobile SimDriving
Motor Town: Behind The Wheel
2021
Est. copies
≈ 242k–393k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessOpen World
OpenTTD
2021
Est. copies
≈ 422k–686k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
17k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationBuilding
Transport Fever
2016
Est. copies
≈ 452k–734k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$10.0M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
FlightCity Builder
Railway Empire
2018
Est. copies
≈ 296k–480k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySimulation
Transport Fever 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 950k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$28.1M after Steam's cut $19.0M–$43.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationStrategy
Cities: Skylines II
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$31.5M–$84.7M after Steam's cut $57.3M–$130.4M before Steam's cut
$49.99
92k reviews
Mixed

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