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How many copies did Arietta of Spirits sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 18k–29k
$74k–$199k after Steam's cut $135k–$306k before Steam's cut
from 724 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Arietta of Spirits and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Arietta of Spirits's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 387k–451k
best case 3.6M (The Last of Us™ Part I)
Games like Arietta of Spirits

A typical game among these

≈ 387k–451k copies

≈ $2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: The Last of Us™ Part I at ≈ 2.7M–4.4M copies, ≈ $45.1M–$121.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 601 to 28k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action-Adventure (6 of 8) and Story Rich (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action-Adventure, priced around $55. The breakout hits carry Third Person + Action-Adventure + Post-apocalyptic; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 500k–1M
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BOKURA
2023
Est. copies
≈ 325k–528k
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$490k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $892k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
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Online Co-OpAdventure
A Way Out
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
8.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.1M–$56.7M after Steam's cut $38.4M–$87.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
103k reviews
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The Last of Us™ Part I
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
8.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$45.1M–$121.3M after Steam's cut $82.0M–$186.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
110k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichPost-apocalyptic
Like a Dragon Gaiden: The Man Who Erased His Name
2023
Est. copies
≈ 316k–514k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.7M after Steam's cut $7.9M–$18.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
13k reviews
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ActionBeat 'em up
God of War Ragnarök
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.0M
3.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$20.7M–$55.6M after Steam's cut $37.6M–$85.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
51k reviews
Very Positive
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The Last of Us™ Part II Remastered
2025
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$19.2M–$51.5M after Steam's cut $34.9M–$79.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
56k reviews
Very Positive
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Amnesia: Rebirth
2020
Est. copies
≈ 232k–377k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
9k reviews
Mostly Positive
Action-AdventureFirst-Person

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.