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How many copies did Ziggurat 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 38k–61k
$259k–$696k after Steam's cut $470k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ziggurat 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ziggurat 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 944k–1.1M
best case 5.9M (Warhammer: Vermintide 2)
Games like Ziggurat 2

A typical game among these

≈ 944k–1.1M copies

≈ $8.1M–$15.0M after Steam's cut

from ~32k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Warhammer: Vermintide 2 at ≈ 4.5M–7.3M copies, ≈ $37.0M–$99.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the range was 11k to 63k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (4 of 8) and FPS (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + Dark Fantasy, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Co-op + Online Co-Op + Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 500k–1M
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Warhammer: Vermintide 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.3M
4.7x vs typical
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≈ 3.1M–5.1M
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≈ 2.6M–4.2M
3.3x vs typical
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≈ 1.8M–3.0M
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