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How many copies did Rise Of The Overlords sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 471–766
from 19 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rise Of The Overlords and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rise Of The Overlords's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.0M–2.2M
best case 3.4M (Dota Underlords)
Games like Rise Of The Overlords

A typical game among these

≈ 1.0M–2.2M copies

≈ $5.7M–$12.6M after Steam's cut

from ~48k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Board Game (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Dota Underlords at ≈ 2.6M–4.3M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 10k reviews in their first month; the range was 6k to 15k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Board Game (4 of 8) and Card Game (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Auto Battler + Tactical.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dota Underlords
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
91k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayStrategy
For The King
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$7.3M–$19.7M after Steam's cut $13.3M–$30.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOnline Co-Op
Liar's Bar
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.1M before Steam's cut
$6.99
56k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerCasual
Dorfromantik
2022
Est. copies
≈ 735k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut
$13.99
30k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleRelaxing
KARDS - The WW2 Card Game
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
52k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayCard Game
Armello
2015
Est. copies
≈ 784k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.5M after Steam's cut $9.8M–$22.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Board GamePvP
Gloomhaven
2021
Est. copies
≈ 400k–650k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut
$34.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpDark Fantasy
Tabletop Simulator
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.0M–$53.8M after Steam's cut $36.4M–$82.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
75k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
TabletopBoard Game

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