How much revenue did Smile To Fly make?

$237–$637 after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Smile To Fly sell?

Q: How many copies did Smile To Fly sell?

288 to 468 copies, based on its 10 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 288–468; $237–$637 after Steam's cut $431–$980 before Steam's cut; from 10 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Smile To Fly and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Smile To Fly's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.6M–8.2M

best case 10.7M (Stellaris)

Games like Smile To Fly

A typical game among these

≈ 5.6M–8.2M copies

≈ $32.3M–$99.5M after Steam's cut

from ~108k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Stellaris at ≈ 8.2M–13.3M copies, ≈ $112.6M–$302.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Space (8 of 8) and Simulation (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Space + Grand Strategy, priced around $50.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2008 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Stellaris 2016	Est. copies ≈ 8.2M–13.3M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $112.6M–$302.6M after Steam's cut $204.7M–$465.6M before Steam's cut	$49.99	197k reviews Very Positive	SpaceGrand Strategy
Dyson Sphere Program 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.5M–$33.7M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	92k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AutomationSpace
FTL: Faster Than Light 2012	Est. copies ≈ 5.0M–8.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut $24.9M–$56.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	79k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Rogue-likeSpace
Elite Dangerous 2015	Est. copies ≈ 5.3M–8.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $28.9M–$77.8M after Steam's cut $52.6M–$119.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	108k reviews Mostly Positive	Space SimSpace
Kerbal Space Program 2015	Est. copies ≈ 7.2M–11.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $79.0M–$212.3M after Steam's cut $143.6M–$326.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	147k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SpaceSimulation
STAR WARS™ Empire at War - Gold Pack 2010	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M too small to compare SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $15.0M–$40.4M after Steam's cut $27.3M–$62.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	43k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	StrategyRTS
Space Engineers 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3.9M–6.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.3M–$57.3M after Steam's cut $38.7M–$88.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	135k reviews Very Positive	SpaceSandbox
SPORE™ 2008	Est. copies ≈ 4.6M–7.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $25.3M–$68.0M after Steam's cut $46.0M–$104.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	73k reviews Very Positive	God GameOpen World