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How many copies did DepowerBall sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 471–766
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
from 19 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid DepowerBall and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including DepowerBall's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 610–2k
best case 2.3M (NBA 2K20)
Games like DepowerBall

A typical game among these

≈ 610–2k copies

≈ $799–$3k after Steam's cut

from ~42 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Party Game (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: NBA 2K20 at ≈ 1.7M–2.8M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 64.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Party Game (4 of 8) and 4 Player Local (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Basketball + Sports, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Basketball + Simulation; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

NBA 2K20
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
1455x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
60k reviews
Mixed
BasketballSports
Canadian Robot Racing League
2024
Est. copies
≈ 347–564
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
14 reviews
Positive
Ultimate Chicken Horse
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
1296x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.8M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
54k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerParty
FROG X BIRD
2017
Est. copies
≈ 241–391
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$530–$1k after Steam's cut $963–$2k before Steam's cut
$7.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
Party GameFamily Friendly
JoJo Siwa: Worldwide Party
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
85 reviews
Mixed
CasualRunner
Miner Ultra Rag Smash
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$338–$907 after Steam's cut $614–$1k before Steam's cut
$0.99
50 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualSports
Supermoves: World of Parkour
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
136 reviews
Very Positive
ActionParkour
Quest Of Graal
2022
Est. copies
≈ 818–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$9.99
33 reviews
Positive
MultiplayerParty Game

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