How much revenue did Only Down! make?

$7k–$20k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Only Down! sell?

Q: How many copies did Only Down! sell?

5k to 9k copies, based on its 214 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 5k–9k; $7k–$20k after Steam's cut $13k–$30k before Steam's cut; from 214 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Only Down! and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Only Down!'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 295k–363k

best case 1.1M (Refunct)

Games like Only Down!

A typical game among these

≈ 295k–363k copies

≈ $1.6M–$2.2M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Refunct at ≈ 852k–1.4M copies, ≈ $701k–$1.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 6k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Parkour (7 of 8) and 3D Platformer (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Parkour, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Haste 2025	Est. copies ≈ 355k–577k 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $2.0M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	14k reviews Very Positive	Fast-PacedAction
not available 2023	Est. copies ≈ 371k–603k 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	15k reviews Mostly Positive	Parkour3D Platformer
Refunct 2015	Est. copies ≈ 852k–1.4M 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $701k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut	$2.99	17k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Parkour3D Platformer
Grow Home 2015	Est. copies ≈ 275k–447k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $604k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut	$7.99	6k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAdventure
Sunset Overdrive 2018	Est. copies ≈ 441k–717k 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	15k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Mirror's Edge™ Catalyst 2020	Est. copies ≈ 411k–668k 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	17k reviews Mostly Positive	ParkourFemale Protagonist
Valley 2016	Est. copies ≈ 279k–453k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut	$14.99	7k reviews Very Positive	AdventureFirst-Person
Rooftops & Alleys: The Parkour Game 2025	Est. copies ≈ 174k–283k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$4.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	7k reviews Very Positive	SimulationParkour