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How many copies did Bang-On Balls: Chronicles sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 129k–209k
$885k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bang-On Balls: Chronicles and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bang-On Balls: Chronicles's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8.8M–25.3M
best case 65.2M (War Thunder)
Games like Bang-On Balls: Chronicles

A typical game among these

≈ 8.8M–25.3M copies

≈ $166.1M–$284.2M after Steam's cut

from ~304k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: War Thunder at ≈ 49.7M–80.7M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (5 of 8) and FPS (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Vehicular Combat.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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2.2x vs typical
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Free to PlayOpen World
theHunter: Call of the Wild™
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HuntingOpen World
Borderlands 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 19.8M–32.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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$217.3M–$584.2M after Steam's cut $395.1M–$898.8M before Steam's cut
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LootShooter
War Thunder
2013
Est. copies
≈ 49.7M–80.7M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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Free
Free
786k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlaySimulation
Arma 3
2013
Est. copies
≈ 18.7M–30.4M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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$154.1M–$414.3M after Steam's cut $280.2M–$637.4M before Steam's cut
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MilitaryAction
Far Cry® 5
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.8M–9.4M
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$95.1M–$255.6M after Steam's cut $172.9M–$393.3M before Steam's cut
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Open WorldAction-Adventure
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–8.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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$59.99
220k reviews
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Deep Rock Galactic
2020
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$77.8M–$209.2M after Steam's cut $141.5M–$321.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
380k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DwarfCo-op

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.