How much revenue did 1428: Shadows over Silesia make?

$38k–$103k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did 1428: Shadows over Silesia sell?

Q: How many copies did 1428: Shadows over Silesia sell?

7k to 11k copies, based on its 282 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 7k–11k; $38k–$103k after Steam's cut $70k–$159k before Steam's cut; from 282 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 1428: Shadows over Silesia and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 1428: Shadows over Silesia's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–6.4M

best case 7.4M (Kingdom Come: Deliverance)

Games like 1428: Shadows over Silesia

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–6.4M copies

≈ $12.6M–$56.3M after Steam's cut

from ~55k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Kingdom Come: Deliverance at ≈ 5.7M–9.2M copies, ≈ $46.7M–$125.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Historical (8 of 8) and Medieval (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Medieval + Open World, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2006 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Manor Lords 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.7M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $25.3M–$68.1M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	93k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCity Builder
Total War: MEDIEVAL II – Definitive Edition 2006	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.7M–$34.1M after Steam's cut $23.1M–$52.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	37k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	StrategyMedieval
Age of Empires II (Retired) 2013	Est. copies ≈ 6.5M–10.6M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $35.7M–$96.1M after Steam's cut $65.0M–$147.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	103k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	StrategyRTS
Crusader Kings II 2012	Est. copies ≈ 4.7M–7.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	74k reviews Very Positive	Grand StrategyStrategy
Kingdom Come: Deliverance 2018	Est. copies ≈ 5.7M–9.2M 3.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $46.7M–$125.6M after Steam's cut $84.9M–$193.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	186k reviews Very Positive	MedievalRPG
A Total War Saga: THRONES OF BRITANNIA 2018	Est. copies ≈ 453k–737k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.5M–$6.7M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	15k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyHistorical
Stronghold Crusader 2 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $11.2M–$30.0M after Steam's cut $20.3M–$46.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	18k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyMedieval
Mount & Blade: With Fire & Sword 2011	Est. copies ≈ 889k–1.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	14k reviews Very Positive	RPGOpen World