How much revenue did Kainga: Seeds of Civilization make?

$104k–$281k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Kainga: Seeds of Civilization sell?

Q: How many copies did Kainga: Seeds of Civilization sell?

19k to 31k copies, based on its 766 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 19k–31k; $104k–$281k after Steam's cut $190k–$432k before Steam's cut; from 766 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Kainga: Seeds of Civilization and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Kainga: Seeds of Civilization's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–2.3M

best case 1.9M (The Henry Stickmin Collection)

Games like Kainga: Seeds of Civilization

A typical game among these

≈ 1.2M–2.3M copies

≈ $6.6M–$14.9M after Steam's cut

from ~31k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Comedy (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Henry Stickmin Collection at ≈ 1.5M–2.4M copies, ≈ $6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 10k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 15k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Comedy (4 of 8) and FPS (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Multiple Endings + Choose Your Own Adventure, priced around $15.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2007 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Firework 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	44k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorIndie
The Henry Stickmin Collection 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.3M before Steam's cut	$14.99	60k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FunnyMultiple Endings
Serious Sam 3: BFE 2011	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–3.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $15.0M–$40.3M after Steam's cut $27.2M–$62.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	29k reviews Very Positive	FPSAction
Loop Hero 2021	Est. copies ≈ 907k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$10.1M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	37k reviews Very Positive	TacticalRogue-like
DUSK 2018	Est. copies ≈ 778k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.3M–$11.5M after Steam's cut $7.8M–$17.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	26k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Boomer ShooterFPS
Shadow Warrior 2013	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.9M–$37.5M after Steam's cut $25.4M–$57.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	27k reviews Very Positive	ActionFPS
DOOM + DOOM II 2007	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–3.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.1M–$13.6M after Steam's cut $9.2M–$20.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	29k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSClassic
Touhou Mystia's Izakaya 2021	Est. copies ≈ 815k–1.3M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.6M before Steam's cut	$5.99	33k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsCasual