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How many copies did Negative Nancy sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$8k–$22k after Steam's cut $15k–$34k before Steam's cut
from 119 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Negative Nancy and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Negative Nancy's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 347k–851k
best case 1.3M (The Coffin of Andy and Leyley)
Games like Negative Nancy

A typical game among these

≈ 347k–851k copies

≈ $2.7M–$5.0M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Coffin of Andy and Leyley at ≈ 982k–1.6M copies, ≈ $3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 229 reviews in their first month; the range was 84 to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Choices Matter (8 of 8) and Story Rich (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Psychological + Dark Comedy, priced around $12.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
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$99k–$266k after Steam's cut $180k–$409k before Steam's cut
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Choose Your Own AdventureAdventure
The Coffin of Andy and Leyley
2023
Est. copies
≈ 982k–1.6M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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PsychologicalDark Comedy
A guard walks into a tavern
2023
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too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
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$24k–$64k after Steam's cut $43k–$98k before Steam's cut
$7.99
434 reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterMedieval
The Night Fisherman
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Free
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SteamSpy under 20k
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Est. copies
≈ 213k–346k
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too small to compare
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2022
Est. copies
≈ 315k–512k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
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Adventure1980s

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.