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How many copies did Godsworn sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 22k–35k
$177k–$477k after Steam's cut $322k–$733k before Steam's cut
from 867 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Godsworn and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Godsworn's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.3M–9.3M
best case 32.0M (Cyberpunk 2077)
Games like Godsworn

A typical game among these

≈ 5.3M–9.3M copies

≈ $56.5M–$97.5M after Steam's cut

from ~206k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Open World (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Cyberpunk 2077 at ≈ 24.4M–39.6M copies, ≈ $402.0M–$1080.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 125k reviews in their first month; the range was 14k to 326k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (3 of 8) and Story Rich (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Character Customization + Choices Matter, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 5M–10M
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Open WorldMultiplayer
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4.2x vs typical
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≈ 24.4M–39.6M
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
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≈ 7.1M–11.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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≈ 7.7M–12.5M
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Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
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2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
3.3x vs typical
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Overwhelmingly Positive
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鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
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$19.99
225k reviews
Mixed
ManagementSingleplayer

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