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How many copies did Len's Island sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 198k–321k
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.6M before Steam's cut
from 8k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Len's Island and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Len's Island's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 293k–1.4M
best case 16.0M (Palworld)
Games like Len's Island

A typical game among these

≈ 293k–1.4M copies

≈ $3.3M–$12.8M after Steam's cut

from ~27k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Palworld at ≈ 12.2M–19.8M copies, ≈ $100.5M–$270.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 15k reviews in their first month; the range was 15 to 469k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Crafting (5 of 8) and Open World Survival Craft (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Survival, priced around $30.
When they shipped
6 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Spirit of the Island
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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$195k–$524k after Steam's cut $354k–$806k before Steam's cut
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2k reviews
Mixed
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Farthest Frontier
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Est. copies
≈ 638k–1.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Early AccessHistorical
Core Keeper
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$9.3M–$24.9M after Steam's cut $16.9M–$38.4M before Steam's cut
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Dinkum
2025
Est. copies
≈ 725k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
29k reviews
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Open World Survival CraftAgriculture
Palworld
2026
Est. copies
≈ 12.2M–19.8M
18x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$100.5M–$270.1M after Steam's cut $182.7M–$415.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
491k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldSurvival
Pax Dei
2025
Est. copies
≈ 282k–459k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
11k reviews
Mixed
PvESandbox
Stoneshard
2020
Est. copies
≈ 886k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
36k reviews
Mostly Positive
Wild Planet
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut
$19.99
44 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessOpen World Survival Craft

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.