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How many copies did Florida Simulator 1986 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$733–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 54 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Florida Simulator 1986 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Florida Simulator 1986's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–6.5M
best case 8.0M (ULTRAKILL)
Games like Florida Simulator 1986

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–6.5M copies

≈ $11.2M–$75.2M after Steam's cut

from ~35k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: ULTRAKILL at ≈ 6.1M–9.9M copies, ≈ $50.2M–$134.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 18k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Hack and Slash (6 of 8) and Spectacle fighter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Boomer Shooter + Fast-Paced, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ULTRAKILL
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.1M–9.9M
7.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$50.2M–$134.8M after Steam's cut $91.2M–$207.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
245k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Boomer ShooterFast-Paced
DmC: Devil May Cry
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$17.3M–$46.4M after Steam's cut $31.4M–$71.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
ActionHack and Slash
Moonlighter
2018
Est. copies
≈ 747k–1.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
Hack and SlashPixel Graphics
Hi-Fi RUSH
2023
Est. copies
≈ 893k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.4M–$19.8M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
36k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RhythmAction
METAL GEAR RISING: REVENGEANCE
2014
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.1M–$110.6M after Steam's cut $74.8M–$170.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackHack and Slash
Bayonetta
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFemale Protagonist
Devil May Cry 5
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4.9M–8.0M
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$40.6M–$109.2M after Steam's cut $73.9M–$168.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
171k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionHack and Slash
Borderlands Game of the Year Enhanced
2023
Est. copies
≈ 693k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.7M–$15.4M after Steam's cut $10.4M–$23.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
28k reviews
Very Positive

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