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How big is DF-41 Simulator?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 6k–10k
from 236 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid DF-41 Simulator and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including DF-41 Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 245k–363k
best case 5.0M (Totally Accurate Battle Simulator)
Games like DF-41 Simulator

A typical game among these

≈ 245k–363k copies

≈ $1.7M–$5.0M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Totally Accurate Battle Simulator at ≈ 3.8M–6.2M copies, ≈ $21.0M–$56.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 967 to 55k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (8 of 8) and Sandbox (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Europa Universalis IV
2013
Est. copies
≈ 8.5M–13.8M
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$116.6M–$313.5M after Steam's cut $212.0M–$482.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
134k reviews
Very Positive
Grand StrategyStrategy
Terra Invicta
2026
Est. copies
≈ 247k–401k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.3M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySimulation
Tabletop Simulator
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
7.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.0M–$53.8M after Steam's cut $36.4M–$82.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
75k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
TabletopBoard Game
Easy Red 2
2022
Est. copies
≈ 377k–612k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$932k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$8.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
World War IIAction
Totally Accurate Battle Simulator
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.0M–$56.6M after Steam's cut $38.3M–$87.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
154k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxSimulation
Steel Division 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 277k–449k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.2M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
10k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyRTS
Animal Revolt Battle Simulator
2022
Est. copies
≈ 170k–277k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$703k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IndieSandbox
Ultimate Epic Battle Simulator 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 186k–303k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationSandbox

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