How much revenue did Noch make?

$22k–$60k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Noch sell?

Q: How many copies did Noch sell?

8k to 13k copies, based on its 326 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 8k–13k; $22k–$60k after Steam's cut $40k–$92k before Steam's cut; from 326 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Noch and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Noch's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 438k–1.2M

best case 4.4M (Metro Exodus)

Games like Noch

A typical game among these

≈ 438k–1.2M copies

≈ $4.1M–$12.8M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Metro Exodus at ≈ 3.4M–5.5M copies, ≈ $27.9M–$74.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 254 to 14k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Survival (7 of 8) and Post-apocalyptic (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Post-apocalyptic + FPS, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Story Rich + Action; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Into the Radius VR 2020	Est. copies ≈ 281k–456k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	11k reviews Very Positive	VRExtraction Shooter
Generation Zero® 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.6M before Steam's cut	$24.99	42k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldSurvival
Metro Exodus 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.5M 8.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $27.9M–$74.9M after Steam's cut $50.7M–$115.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	136k reviews Very Positive	Post-apocalypticFPS
Pacific Drive 2024	Est. copies ≈ 669k–1.1M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.5M–$14.8M after Steam's cut $10.0M–$22.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	27k reviews Very Positive	DrivingSurvival
Rain World 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.2M 3.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $13.6M–$36.7M after Steam's cut $24.8M–$56.4M before Steam's cut	$24.99	58k reviews Very Positive	DifficultAtmospheric
Chernobylite Complete Edition 2021	Est. copies ≈ 388k–630k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	16k reviews Very Positive	Post-apocalypticSurvival
ZERO Sievert 2024	Est. copies ≈ 387k–628k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	16k reviews Very Positive	Extraction ShooterSurvival
No One Survived 2025	Est. copies ≈ 195k–316k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $909k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut	$16.99	8k reviews Mixed	SurvivalOpen World