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How many copies did PSYCRON sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
from 113 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid PSYCRON and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including PSYCRON's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.6M–10.7M
best case 23.0M (No Man's Sky)
Games like PSYCRON

A typical game among these

≈ 6.6M–10.7M copies

≈ $53.3M–$207.6M after Steam's cut

from ~176k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: No Man's Sky at ≈ 17.5M–28.5M copies, ≈ $289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 62 reviews in their first month; the range was 37 to 10k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (8 of 8) and Sci-fi (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Earth Analog
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$15k–$41k after Steam's cut $28k–$64k before Steam's cut
$19.99
113 reviews
Mixed
SpaceExploration
No Man's Sky
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17.5M–28.5M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut $526.0M–$1196.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
422k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Stellaris
2016
Est. copies
≈ 8.2M–13.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$112.6M–$302.6M after Steam's cut $204.7M–$465.6M before Steam's cut
$49.99
197k reviews
Very Positive
Elite Dangerous
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$28.9M–$77.8M after Steam's cut $52.6M–$119.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
108k reviews
Mostly Positive
Space SimSpace
ANIMAL WELL
2024
Est. copies
≈ 612k–995k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.3M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
176k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureSouls-like
Somber Echoes
2025
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$36k–$96k after Steam's cut $65k–$148k before Steam's cut
$14.99
349 reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationStory Rich
Null & Peta -Invasion of the Queen Bug-
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$15k–$41k after Steam's cut $28k–$63k before Steam's cut
$19.99
112 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionAnime

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