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How many copies did Cloud Gardens sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 57k–93k
$284k–$762k after Steam's cut $516k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cloud Gardens and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cloud Gardens's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 81k–411k
best case 3.7M (Planet Zoo)
Games like Cloud Gardens

A typical game among these

≈ 81k–411k copies

≈ $431k–$2.1M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Planet Zoo at ≈ 2.8M–4.6M copies, ≈ $34.9M–$93.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 120 to 10k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Nature (7 of 8) and Sandbox (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Management + Simulation, priced around $45. The breakout hits carry Management + Realistic + City Builder; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Early AccessSimulation

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