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How many copies did Back to the Scene sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
from 43 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Back to the Scene and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Back to the Scene's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 592k–684k
best case 3.5M (Outer Wilds)
Games like Back to the Scene

A typical game among these

≈ 592k–684k copies

≈ $3.7M–$12.9M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Outer Wilds at ≈ 2.7M–4.4M copies, ≈ $18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 9k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (8 of 8) and Puzzle (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Exploration + Space, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Space + Great Soundtrack + Atmospheric; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Indiana Jones and the Great Circle
2024
Est. copies
≈ 515k–837k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$9.9M–$26.6M after Steam's cut $18.0M–$41.0M before Steam's cut
$69.99
21k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureFirst-Person
The Witness
2016
Est. copies
≈ 900k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.9M–$26.6M after Steam's cut $18.0M–$40.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleExploration
We Were Here Together
2019
Est. copies
≈ 512k–831k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.6M before Steam's cut
$12.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleOnline Co-Op
Murders on the Yangtze River
2024
Est. copies
≈ 528k–858k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveAdventure
The Talos Principle 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 333k–541k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Blue Prince
2025
Est. copies
≈ 501k–814k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.1M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleExploration
Outer Wilds
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
5.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut $33.6M–$76.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
108k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationSpace
Strange Horticulture
2022
Est. copies
≈ 401k–652k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.3M before Steam's cut
$15.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
MysteryPuzzle

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