How much revenue did Paper Beast - Folded Edition make?

$27k–$73k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Paper Beast - Folded Edition sell?

Q: How many copies did Paper Beast - Folded Edition sell?

6k to 9k copies, based on its 233 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 6k–9k; $27k–$73k after Steam's cut $49k–$112k before Steam's cut; from 233 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Paper Beast - Folded Edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Paper Beast - Folded Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.1M–9.4M

best case 105.1M (Garry's Mod)

Games like Paper Beast - Folded Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 7.1M–9.4M copies

≈ $56.5M–$145.6M after Steam's cut

from ~158k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Garry's Mod at ≈ 80.0M–130.1M copies, ≈ $219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Sandbox (5 of 8) and Exploration (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Driving, priced around $25.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2006 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
BeamNG.drive 2015	Est. copies ≈ 20.5M–33.4M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut $256.7M–$584.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	421k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationDriving
No Man's Sky 2016	Est. copies ≈ 17.5M–28.5M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut $526.0M–$1196.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	422k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Garry's Mod 2006	Est. copies ≈ 80.0M–130.1M 8.0x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut $399.8M–$909.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	1.3M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxModdable
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal 2023	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut $55.7M–$126.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	225k reviews Mixed	ManagementSingleplayer
Kerbal Space Program 2015	Est. copies ≈ 7.2M–11.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $79.0M–$212.3M after Steam's cut $143.6M–$326.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	147k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SpaceSimulation
Stellaris 2016	Est. copies ≈ 8.2M–13.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $112.6M–$302.6M after Steam's cut $204.7M–$465.6M before Steam's cut	$49.99	197k reviews Very Positive	SpaceGrand Strategy
Slime Rancher 2017	Est. copies ≈ 5.4M–8.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $29.8M–$80.2M after Steam's cut $54.2M–$123.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	158k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CuteExploration
ASTRONEER 2019	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $33.1M–$89.1M after Steam's cut $60.2M–$137.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	139k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerOpen World