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How many copies did Souldiers sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 78k–127k
$430k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $782k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Souldiers and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Souldiers's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–2.6M
best case 7.3M (Dead Cells)
Games like Souldiers

A typical game among these

≈ 1.6M–2.6M copies

≈ $10.5M–$23.0M after Steam's cut

from ~58k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Platformer (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Dead Cells at ≈ 5.6M–9.1M copies, ≈ $38.4M–$103.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 14k reviews in their first month; the range was 11k to 15k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (4 of 8) and 2D Platformer (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $22. The breakout hits carry Precision Platformer + Female Protagonist; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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2.6x vs typical
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SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
3.2x vs typical
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≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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BlazBlue Entropy Effect
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Est. copies
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$19.99
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