How much revenue did Evolution make?

Evolution is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did Evolution sell?

Q: How many copies did Evolution sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 64 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–3k; from 64 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Evolution and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Evolution's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 439k–862k

best case 7.3M (鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal)

Games like Evolution

A typical game among these

≈ 439k–862k copies

≈ $5.3M–$9.1M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Open World (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: 鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal at ≈ 5.6M–9.1M copies, ≈ $30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 208k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (4 of 8) and Exploration (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Exploration + Fishing, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Fishing + Lovecraftian + Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Avorion 2020	Est. copies ≈ 362k–588k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.5M–$6.7M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	15k reviews Very Positive	ExplorationSandbox
Maneater 2021	Est. copies ≈ 669k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.4M–$19.8M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.4M before Steam's cut	$39.99	27k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldDark Humor
The Riftbreaker 2021	Est. copies ≈ 619k–1.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.1M–$13.7M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.1M before Steam's cut	$29.99	25k reviews Very Positive	Base-BuildingTower Defense
Moonlighter 2018	Est. copies ≈ 747k–1.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	25k reviews Very Positive	Hack and SlashPixel Graphics
EVERSPACE™ 2 2023	Est. copies ≈ 326k–529k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.5M–$12.0M after Steam's cut $8.1M–$18.5M before Steam's cut	$49.99	13k reviews Very Positive	ShooterSpace
DREDGE 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $15.6M–$41.9M after Steam's cut $28.4M–$64.5M before Steam's cut	$39.99	57k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ExplorationFishing
ASKA 2024	Est. copies ≈ 304k–495k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.1M–$5.6M after Steam's cut $3.8M–$8.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	12k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessOnline Co-Op
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal 2023	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.1M 11x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut $55.7M–$126.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	225k reviews Mixed	ManagementSingleplayer