How many copies did Harvest Island: Beginnings sell?

3k to 6k copies, based on its 138 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Harvest Island: Beginnings make?

Harvest Island: Beginnings is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Harvest Island: Beginnings?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 3k–6k; from 138 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Harvest Island: Beginnings and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Harvest Island: Beginnings's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 48k–71k

best case 83k (HARVESTELLA)

Games like Harvest Island: Beginnings

A typical game among these

≈ 48k–71k copies

≈ $350k–$982k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: HARVESTELLA at ≈ 63k–103k copies, ≈ $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 621 reviews in their first month; the range was 151 to 1k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Farming Sim (7 of 8) and Life Sim (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Exploration + Farming Sim, priced around $60.
When they shipped: Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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